Listen to the conversation with Geert Molenberghs on Radio 1 Select here.
“In a normal year – like 2018 or 2019 – we estimate about 109,000 to 110,000 deaths,” explains bio-statistician Kirt Molenberg in De Morgan. “It was nearly 127,000 in 2020 and 112,298 accurate in 2021. This is higher than the reference years, but much lower than 2020.”
Half of all fatal deaths in 2021 may be between the ages of 65 and 74.
Thanks for that? “Much of the vaccine campaign,” Molenberghs analyzes. “In 2020 there were more deaths among people over the age of 85, but not really in 2021.” More deaths than usual in the past year were seen mainly in slightly younger groups. “Half of all fatal deaths in 2021 may be in the 65- to 74-year-old age group, and those individuals are usually still a few years ahead.”
Molenberghs did not dare to make predictions for this year. “Omikron is becoming much less sick now than Delta, so we’ll not expect more deaths. If we end up in a quiet period after this wave, we’re in the right place too. But of course no one can. Predict what autumn will be like. It will be quiet.”
Listen to the conversation with Geert Molenberghs on Radio 1 Select here.
Source: vrtnws And ‘The Morning’
