British scientists are sounding the alarm about the Indian alternative. This could lead to a massive increase in infections.
When we thought we were entering calmer waters, the more contagious British variant suddenly appeared. Now that the “realm of freedom” is close, there is the most contagious Indian variety. The latter, subtype B.1.617.2, is on the rise in Great Britain. In the past two weeks, one in six cases had an Indian fingerprint.
British scientists are very concerned. In a recently published report, they stated that the Indian variant is “more than half contagious” than B.1.1.7, the British variant. The scientists said that the coming days should clarify whether this will continue.
Estimates are in line with estimates by Professor Tom Winsellers of Biostatistics (KU Leuven) for England and India. “But we don’t yet know if the advantage of growth comes from a higher rate of infection or from the ability to bypass immunity,” Wenseleers says.
Scientists warn that a high infection rate could lead to a “very significant increase in infection”. Northwest England, with cities like Manchester and Liverpool, is at the forefront of this. The region (7 million people) has the largest number of new infections. Since the Indian variant is advancing so rapidly, the British variant still accounts for less than half of the cases. Barely 7.5 percent of the new Indian cases had a travel history. In Bolton, where 8 percent of the population is of Indian ancestry, the numbers are higher in groups with lower vaccination coverage. Despite the high vaccination coverage, very few adults were vaccinated to avoid a wave.
The UK wants to drop all measures on 21 June. But if it happens while trading a 50% more infectious variable, then the third wave that far outweighs the first and the second threatens to emerge. Simulation From the University of Warwick. Scientists are calling for faster vaccination in regions with 1,617.2 more cases.